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    每日鋼市要聞

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    來源:海鑫鋼網責任編輯:小鄧時間:2019年01月25日 09:14手機海鑫鋼網

    導讀

    央行“金穩”報告釋放四大信號;樓市“金九銀十”黯然收場10月份成交不及月均水平;前三季度鋼鐵行業運行平穩;今年鋼鐵行業供求基本平衡成主基調;國內鋼價微跌鐵礦石市場穩中趨弱。

    市場

    鋼坯:現唐山普方坯穩報3910元/噸,含稅出廠。

    建材:全國24個主要市場螺紋鋼20mmHRB400E平均價格4713元/噸,較上個交易日下調2元/噸,期貨和現貨市場的分歧逐漸凸顯,期價走弱令市場看多熱情降溫,“銀十”落幕,房地產及基建項目保持趕工狀態,著眼于提升年底資金回籠效率,尚能支撐建筑鋼材的需求,市場庫存處低位,預計建材延續高位震蕩。

    熱軋板卷:全國24個主要市場4.75熱軋板卷平均價格4156元/噸,較上個交易日下調21元/噸,期卷持綠震蕩,終端需求欠佳,拖累現貨市場情緒,商家為刺激成交,操作上松動出貨為主,下游及中間商無囤貨意愿,多按需采購,資源整體成交無明顯改觀,預計熱卷繼續出貨為主。

    中厚板:全國23個主要市場14-20mm普中板平均價格4334元/噸,較上個交易日下調12元/噸,進入11月份鋼市淡季,市場供需面愈發悲觀,隨著氣溫不斷下降,下游廠商入市采購積極性不高,資源整體成交有限,期貨和鋼坯維持弱勢對市場心態形成一定拖累,市場回暖缺乏利好推動,預計中板市價弱穩觀望運行。

    帶鋼:全國12個主要市場2.5mm*232帶鋼平均價格4192元/噸,較上個交易日下調26元/噸。全國12個主要市場3.5mm*685帶鋼平均價格4167元/噸,較上個交易日下調25元/噸。

    型材:下跌。全國23個主要市場50*5角鋼平均價格4537元/噸,較上個交易日下調7元/噸。全國23個主要市場16#槽鋼平均價格4516元/噸,較上個交易日下調6元/噸。全國23個主要市場25#工字鋼平均價格4553元/噸,較上個交易日下調8元/噸。

    管材:全國19個主要市場108*4.5無縫管平均價格5458元/噸,較上個交易日上漲2元/噸。全國19個主要市場219*6無縫管平均價格5522元/噸,較上個交易日上漲2元/噸。

    鐵礦石:內粉商家心態較為樂觀,前期鋼企多抬價搶貨,商家看漲之心強烈,供需操作均積極,此輪現貨大跌來得過快,市場需要時間消化,預計鐵礦石暫未出現大幅波動。

    焦炭:市場成交向好。汾渭平原首次納入中央環保督查區域,作為焦炭主產區,面臨較大的環保壓力,后期焦炭供應仍偏緊。疊加冬儲行情,市場需求仍處高位,商家交投積極性較好,預計焦炭維持偏強運行。

    廢鋼:建筑用材新國標施行,對鋼市的影響繼續加深,期螺、成品材繼續呈現下滑趨勢,鋼廠下跌增多,然部分鋼廠冬儲計劃仍在進行,預計廢鋼有小幅下跌趨勢,幅度有限。

    生鐵:各鐵廠成交不一,庫存壓力不同,隨焦炭、礦石漲價,市場報價混亂,目前煉鋼鐵報3120-3200,鑄造鐵3450-3600,但因鐵廠庫存均不大,現多維穩觀望,預計生鐵暫穩觀望運行。

    點評

    隨著污染加劇,限產力度加大,對供應造成一定影響,但目前的降幅放緩的庫存、終端需求放緩又對鋼價形成利空因素。基于目前多空因素交織,本網分析師認為鋼價整體上仍將持續震蕩走勢。

    熱軋板卷和中厚板將出現10-30左右的跌幅,而建材將平穩運行。建議商家快速出貨,降低庫存,控制風險。

    宏微觀

    1、央行“金穩”報告釋放四大信號。央行認為,隨著三大攻堅戰的推進,我國金融服務實體經濟的能力和風險抵御防范能力也將進一步增強。

    2、金融支持民營經濟高質量發展正當時。當下,我國金融機構應提高認識,認真研判民營經濟經營風險特征,積極行動,多措并舉,切實提升對民營經濟金融服務質量、效率與力度

    3、樓市“金九銀十”黯然收場10月份成交不及月均水平。近兩年來,房地產市場“金九銀十”成色愈發不如從前。近日多家房地產研究機構的統計數據表明,今年“金九銀十”周期也黯然收場。

    4、英國“脫歐”邊界問題迎來曙光。英國脫歐后,英國北愛爾蘭地區與歐盟成員國愛爾蘭之間的邊界將成為英歐之間唯一陸地邊界,但在愛爾蘭邊界問題上英歐雙方一直沒有達成一致。

    5、延續大漲!在岸、離岸人民幣兌美元雙雙收復6.89關口。人民幣匯率延續昨日大漲態勢,截至發稿,在岸人民幣兌美元收復6.89關口,較日內低點漲300點。離岸人民幣兌美元漲勢擴大,收復6.89關口,報6.8827。

    6、損失10億美元和7萬工作,福特再批特朗普美國鋼鐵全球最貴!因美國關稅而大受損失的福特汽車近日抱怨稱,美國鋼鐵是全球最貴的。受關稅影響,美國制造的鋼材的基準價格在2018年上漲了28%,至十年來的最高水平。目前,美國鋼鐵每公噸的成本比中國鋼鐵多150美元

    行業

    1、前三季度鋼鐵行業運行平穩。近日,中國鋼鐵工業協會發布了第三季度鋼鐵行業經濟運行情況。數據顯示,前三季度鋼鐵行業運行取得了多年未有的平穩態勢。具體表現在以下六個方面。

    2、今年鋼鐵行業供求基本平衡成主基調。近日,全聯冶金商會召開2018年企業交流會,全聯冶金商會會長張志祥表示,預計第四季度鋼鐵行業運行保持平穩,2018年全年供求基本平衡已成主基調。

    3、環渤海動力煤價格指數環比持平。河北港口集團秦皇島海運煤炭交易市場發布,2018年10月24日至2018年10月30日環渤海動力煤價格指數報收于571元/噸,環比持平。

    4、國內鋼價微跌鐵礦石市場穩中趨弱。在國產礦市場上,國內鐵精粉價格維持堅挺,部分礦山企業因環保原因開采受限,但部分鋼企對鐵精粉的采購需求也有所下降。進口礦價格接連下跌。

    5、BDI:波羅的海干散貨指數下跌1.34%,至1470點。

    平臺咨詢電話:400-703-7000

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