<samp id="2wuei"></samp>
  • <samp id="2wuei"></samp>
  • 地區導航
    您當前的位置:海鑫首頁 >

    鋼材資訊

    >

    熱點聚焦

    > 正文
    來源:海鑫鋼網責任編輯:小王時間:2019年06月06日 09:59手機海鑫鋼網

    在剛過去的5月份中,成材與原材料繼續呈現分化走勢,螺紋鋼價格在上半月弱勢下行,下半月先揚后抑,5月在貿易緊張局勢加劇疊加供給過快增長的壓力下整體鋼價弱勢向下調整呈現“N”字走勢;而原材料走勢則表現強勁,鐵礦石期貨主力合約及港口PB粉現貨在5月份當月分別大漲將近13.95%和13.88%,礦強螺弱格局保持相對穩定。

    今年礦強螺弱的格局可以認為是起源于鐵礦石供給端層層突發事件的刺激,直接簡單粗暴的優化了供需缺口。鐵礦和螺紋供給端影響的區別在于鐵礦的供給端相對集中,畢竟四大礦山的壟斷地位很強,不可抗事件對礦山造成的影響更為明確;而螺紋供給端主要在于政策性限產方面,隨著企業環保技術的提高,對于排放水平的控制力增強,受影響的企業數量及程度均得到一定控制,且政策性限產的方式和力度均相對靈活,對于供給端實質的影響相對模糊。這是從螺礦各自的供給端看鐵礦和螺紋價格不同走勢的主要原因,由此延伸至需求端、庫存端,鐵礦的需求及庫存反應的供需缺口均有優于螺紋鋼,由此鐵礦強于螺紋的表現也是合理的。

    具體來說,5月份起外礦發貨量已經正常回升,5/27-6/2到港量顯示也開始反彈,但根據四大礦山年度鐵礦石生產計劃對2019年2季度進行預測的話四大礦山基本是沒有多大壓力的,力拓(100%計)離財年目標僅剩7400-8400萬噸左右,18年2季度產量是8702萬噸;BHP離財年目標約剩6650-7150萬噸,而18年2季度產量為7215萬噸;FMG發運量離財年目標約剩4400-4900萬噸,18年2季度產量為4650萬噸;VALE是按日歷年規劃的,歷年一季度都是全年的最低水平,三季度通常達到峰值,簡單平均計算來看,剩下三個季度平均每個季度達到7800-8600萬噸左右,便可完成全年目標,而18年2季度產量就有9676萬噸,因此,由此來看鐵礦供給方面壓力極其有限,力拓、必和必拓、FMG涉及到財年計劃沖量的影響整體回升也屬正常現象。

    需求方面,5月份環保限產執行力度不及預期,利潤驅使下高爐開工率水平較4月份仍有較為明顯的抬升,帶動原料需求保持強勢,加之到港量持續在低位徘徊也加劇著港口庫存的消化,鐵礦石整體供需壓力并不大。

    5月31日唐山市下發6月大氣污染防治強化管控通知,環保預期再度有所提升,Mysteel統計的螺紋鋼實際周產量也結束了歷時11周的連續攀升,初步看產量拐點已現,貌似鐵礦石的需求似乎進入了瓶頸期,但是畢竟今年大環境有所轉變,企業對環保靈活應變的能力提高,在鋼材下游季節性需求淡季的背景下,鋼廠對生產的積極性及產量的實際控制力度則更現實。大致粗算鋼廠利潤,考慮現貨庫存周期核算利潤約在450元/噸左右,不考慮庫存周期現貨核算利潤約在300元/噸左右,盤面核算利潤在200-300元/噸范圍附近,目前鋼廠仍有一定利潤,全國盈利鋼廠占比保持在82.82%的水平。在鋼廠利潤下降階段螺紋鋼周產量和高爐開工率均保持持續攀升,可見利潤驅使下鋼廠大概率不會出現大規模的主動減產行為,鐵礦需求出現斷崖下跌的可能性不大,鐵礦仍然存在繼續強于成材的條件。

    總體來看,鐵礦石港口庫存下降較快,供需缺口仍在優化,短期來看鐵礦石仍有在回調過后繼續反彈的空間,仍將強于成材。但若鋼材利潤打壓過快影響到鋼廠產能利用率的釋放,則原材料價格繼續推升的動力也將有所缺失。

    0
    關于海鑫┊ 會員服務 ┊ 廣告服務 ┊ 法律聲明 ┊ 聯系方式 ┊ 海鑫鋼材信息網 ┊ 信息管理監控

    福建海鑫電子商務有限公司 ©2019 閩ICP備07035527號

    9万彩票 www.580786.com | cp598.com | www.50024a.com | www.hx6692.com | www.bj1111.com | www.2021n.com | www.668hyc.com | www.xpj9t9.com | bogou900.vip | wnsr8806.com | 9068ll.com | 3y999.com | 34311.com | www.767387.com | www.33588m.com | www.441918.com | www.55060x.com | www.909868.com | www.76543j.com | 66066.com | 159666147.com | 883399s.com | 11422s.com | pj600.cc | www.166127.com | www.820158.com | www.9181.cc | www.66652n.com | www.959718.com | www.472701.com | www.8yw.net | www.hg93777.com | www.777444i.com | www.111893.com | k2554.com | 84494433.com | 2618m.com | 8797.com | js909020.com | nn500o.com | 263377.com | 90307i.com | 7599vv.com | 50099u.com | mgm.tt | www.55885a.com | www.235644.com | www.669772.com | www.rcw456.com | www.gen00.com | www.60ksw.com | www.50024p.com | www.15355e.com | www.162323.com | www.js1047.com | www.68993261.com | www.88266s.com | www.sx1844.com | www.kj333888.com | www.yun990.com | www.9989586.com | www.48330p.com | www.h36599.com | www.hg1777.com | www.5886mm.com | www.80080.com | www.587189.com | www.880478.com | www.68993223.com | www.4323q.com | www.8d222.com | www.88065b.com | www.66653d.com | www.41518m.com | www.6832z.com | www.66ffo.com | www.11ckb.com | www.w058.com | www.811597.com | www.599290.com | www.340911.com | www.153880.com | 60959999.com | q47479.com | 7605f.com | 22cc8331.com | 2004877.com | j1458.com | 3568xx.com | 33kk8331.com | 83086i.com | www.0686000.com | www.39695o.com | www.hg50668.com | www.358298.com | www.tm300.com | www.85857m.com | www.6666yh.com | www.7225q.com | www.38775xx.com | www.0601m.com | www.08588d.com | www.986420.com | www.324246.com | 22mm8332.com | 854357.com | 4231.com | 8030q.com | www.js40222.com | www.66166i.com | www.35789.com | www.98698o.com | www.33678nn.com | www.yh7788.bet | www.36788c.com | www.951077.com | www.183676.com | jinlong06.com | 18775l.com | 4167z.com | 7989y.com | www.alpk55.com | www.464699.com | www.hf9016.com | www.47506w.com | www.0270x.com | www.11dwj.com | www.235387.com | 3405jj.com | 030991.com | 3700988.com | gbhs44.com | www.5651e.com | www.060sunbet.com | www.357306.com | www.dw777.net | www.am2220.com | www.119705.com | 1406766.com | 4018qq.com | 9895d.com | www.87680v.com | www.090051.com | www.b83377.com | www.81520n.com | www.755901.com | 0747uu.com | 33412.com | 6830dd.com | www.55268uu.com | www.11c93.com | www.836bbb.com | www.6ttz.com | 83086z.com | 111pj8.cc | 4023p.com | www.3170001.com | www.9737yy.com | www.4323k.com | www.602454.com | 500000531.com | pj00ff.com | www.xin2.net | www.60333.com | www.68365i.com | www.964977.com | 00787.com | c40033.com | www.6666bmw.com | www.wi6666.com | www.8722.am | www.938751.com | 3424y.com | lc99m.com | www.026033.com | www.68277666.com | www.1429.net | www.183498.com | 4022xx.com | nn5443.com | www.p5550.com | www.32031j.com | www.jx68.com | 3379ff.com | 7499822.com | www.53516n.com | www.389190.com | www.qilc2.com | 97799.com | 61328822.com | www.11731.com | www.78680i.com | www.770816.com | 9895e.com | 37570y.com | www.849958.com | www.bi16.com | hr1222.com | 316i.cc | www.msc67.com | www.xj7008.com | www.840979.com | bet365bet365005.com | jiuzhoukefu.com | www.hg7739.com | www.js02345.com | www.178739.com | 3775s.com | www.365815n.com | www.8645005.com | www.978960.com | 33678ee.com | 9849733.com | www.s9478.com | www.8839b.com | 18438b.com | 256777x.com | www.vns3600.com | www.js56771.com | www.338996.com | 8159a.cc | www.9949r.com | www.5528229.com | www.038059.com | app3865.com | www.feilipu3.com | www.720650.com | 87965ff.com | 8290p.com | www.c9478.com | www.7793n.com | 5309i.com | v3675.com | www.sbd024.net | www.962505.com | 6668449.com | www.32329193.com | www.ykylc04.com | 3169i.com | jinlong02.com | www.zgr111.com | www.ck1178.com | ole7o.cn | www.107898.com | www.866471.com | 712930.com | www.hg9951.com | www.9895s.com | www.177524.com | tz883.com | www.msc-88msc.com | www.5091d.com | 921330.com | www.88837p.com | www.js00858.com | 88021ee.com | 4495.com | www.3846a.com | b9973.com | 3189aa.com | www.xpj16684.com | www.055972.com | 2247000.com | www.0057c.com | www.652162.com | ddcp77.com | www.3846l.com | www.786126.com | j5069.com | www.lzlylc.com | www.927576.com | 146662244.com | www.yh269831.com | www.564648.com | 2490f.com | www.06bet8.com | www.178651.com | 6220y.com | www.06820z.com | www.41518o.com | 99111ww.com | www.12136w.com | 4048.com | www.4107s.com | www.1855.cc | 8977kk.com | www.236js.com | www.084wy.com | 0234.com | www.8967x.com | www.209875.com | 11989j.com | www.0022sun.com | 2008ff.com | www.358012.com | www.2632g.com | 8037zz.com | www.c32.net | www.250209.com | 33115qq.com | www.hg7225.com | 5443ss.com | www.3xh3.com | www.987581.com | 3344000.com | www.xpj16683.com | byj10.com | www.333133g.com | www.9818v.cc | 3416e.com | www.9900ra8.com | 228888v.com | www.hg0110.com | www.26199.com | hh4675.com | www.680556.com | 3568mm.com | www.6403jj.com | www.c146.vip | 3434mmm.com | www.97828g.vip | 3405rr.com | www.39277.com | qiangui003.com | www.617704.com | www.23022.cc | amjs68332.com | www.5886pp.com | qy8.com | www.2302325.com | www.61655i.com | www.tyc775.com | www.88goc.com | 22ss8331.com | www.954321z.com | 2021x.com | www.4996hz.com | 1770t.com | www.66667666.com | www.027107.com | www.bet3650514.com | www.1035c.com | f2870.com | www.0601y.com | aa01234.com | www.91779e.com | ll1915.com | www.ly09.com | feicai0790.com | www.jbb08.net | 71005.com | www.p222222.com | www.375983.com | www.76060x.com | www.hx1112.com | 3522gg.cc | www.16878d.com | 7742ll.com | www.yh7774.com | 33382ss.com | www.37377n.com | 063939.com | www.zzyl69.com | w8159.cc | www.7240y.com | 2214z.com | www.7737ff.com | 4239.com | www.v774477.com | 3352.com | www.719880.com | b6267.com | www.730555h.com | 2757i.com | www.725602.com | k7742.com | www.71233j.com | 9149.com | www.22qxc.com | www.99999jsc.com | www.881805.com | www.xinhao1122.com | www.743966.com | www.653507.com | www.506953.com | www.991224.com | www.209882.com | www.zb399.com | h61653.com | www.xg808.cc | yataibet5.com | www.418466.com | 1222r.com | www.hgdc400.com | 93936f.com | www.7249n.com | 33kk8331.com | www.33112p.com | 69990e.com | www.907118.com | www.7893w54.com | www.186791.com | www.0098.cc | 28288nn.com | www.808888j.com | p888vip.com | www.838957.com | 80368v.com | www.33588p.com | www.8520n.com | www.572102.com | www.ozhou9.com | judingbo0.com | www.138136b.com | 83138j.com | www.6678686.com | 7779j.cc | www.763287.com | www.57hg.com | 8520d.com | www.w1432.com | 3807mm.com | www.33997w.com | www.xpj6666.cc | www.018916.com | www.49522.com | 11005003.com | www.5856883.com | 2569005.com | www.763605.com | www.29980044.net | 033a.net | www.hg08.com | 47749u.com | www.364077.com | www.76775c.com | 36989d.com | www.2418d.com | 11018e.com | www.115669.com | www.56766.com | 6677bet.vip | www.37437.cc | www.0747700.com | 88850pp.com | www.6699nsb.com | 5443c.com | www.303472.com | www.cfcp111.com | hy756.com | www.81455.com | www.7025w.com | 365225.com | www.r999996.com | mry456.com | www.083037.com | www.5099dd.com | 51133p.com | www.895010.com | www.fcd666.com | 55555gg.cc | www.27775.cc | www.30370000.com | 8036m.com | www.55885j.com | www.5y.cc | 2021j.com | www.36584444.com | www.338808.com | 27365.com | www.63683.com | www.066116.com | 1634x.com | www.730555h.com | www.1818810.com | b62d.com | www.bet365cn.net | www.yvnsr.com | 53262e.com | www.50052n.com | www.62830.com | dz3388.com | www.8839d.com | www.hg8487.com | 3685u.com | www.ct8833.com | www.9611h.com | 4255qqq.com | www.433112.com | www.xpj2070.com | 3379n.com | 08778d.com | www.3522 | www.4625k.com | 3416m.com | www.8667i.com | www.tm012.com | 167605.com | www.594877.com | www.00772c.com | 8036k.com | 25800.com | www.ya2019t.com | www.hg8855.com | q82365.com | www.627868.com | www.hg8vv.com | 777.bcbm777.com | 3928722.com | www.66376l.com | www.321666.com | 51133l.com | www.106056.com | www.3421h.com | www.dy6611.com | wvs8.com | www.649880.com | www.4996zj.com | www.ylg2222.com | 88850uu.com | www.qmkl5.com | www.36008.com | 777hg000.com | 16290077.com | www.sygj9.com | www.hga55500.com | dafa7575.com | qy688.vip | www.951077.com | www.55070b.com | www.111xpj88.com | 2381ppp.com | www.657320.com | www.79095p.com | www.76543x.com | 507767.com | www.209983.com | www.9484.com | www.tyc180.com | 2055.com | 7240k.com | www.11554.cc | www.tyc714.com | www.pj5903.com | 22698m.com | www.297790.com | www.o98478.com | www.hg2312.com | 5504y.com | vns365c.com | www.am2220.com | www.hgdc900.com | www.333133t.com | 3614q.com | 444000www.com | www.33598n.com | www.848524.com | www.343xpj.com | yun666.com | weide25.net | www.34788j.com | www.19019z.com | www.77755545.com | 53262a.com | 2649x.com | www.85wcp.com | www.o063801.com | www.0241mmm.com | 65005r.com | 60953333.com | www.344680.com | www.aobo190.com | www.lm55.com | www.p76888.com | 66136c.com | 78116644.com | www.620557.com | www.2228229.com | www.zte222.com | www.28758f.com | 7249v.com | 9599wm6.com | www.603154.com | www.0194008.com | www.983888c.com | www.365815k.com | jbb75.cc | 9411qqq.com | www.77210a.com | www.00711.cc | www.88325r.com | www.000943.com | www.48696.com | 3522q.cc | 33888016.com | www.196501.com | www.23636f.com | www.79095i.com | www.hz444.com | www.a3a999.cc | 8037ll.com | 52688k.com | www.51515t.com | www.77wcw.com | www.55676h.com | www.20199rr.com | www.40686f.com | 88002848.com | 7599dd.com | 86688003.com | www.158267.com | www.1368h.cc | www.6667758.com | www.06jsjs.com | www.12qz3.com | www.7aobo.com | 6xh.vip | 28839s.com | 99999.com | www.254568.com | www.3126o.com | www.916633.com | www.5446ss.com | www.883131.com | www.yd555888.com | feicai0556.com | 66681o.com | 6175o.com | 87665r.com | www.377183.com | www.1333ac.com | www.36582222.com | www.369403.com | www.5049l.com | www.8366uu.com | www.6491e.com | 99151u.com | 435797.com | 78117711.com | vns.com | 37570x.com | www.226075.com | www.cb3988.com | www.55558c.com | www.23456789.pw | www.xpj16685.com | www.gd68199.com | www.36kj.com | www.fh6000.com | www.33333jsc.com | 97799p.com | 98955k.com | 08778q.com | bet99979.com | 55545l.com | 9103rr.com | 55545z.com | www.330197.com | www.856458.com | www.2109u.com | www.80065r.com | www.5856866.com | www.99552hh.com | www.cn365w.com | www.56766.com | www.5862.com | www.242333.com | www.xb0020.com | www.c4737.com | www.6491p.com | 28455.com | 22296uu.com | 3336.com | 4036356.com | kkk5657.com | www.503501.com | www.34czj.com | www.9928j.com | www.66376r.com | www.hg09b.com | www.ytrich.com | www.4447758.com | www.087c.com | www.8577.com | www.js89h.vip | www.x3410.com | www.vn777.cn | www.s69096.com | www.v88139.com | www.8473n.com | www.sb5503.com | www.28000a.com | www.hg98029.com | www.551c93.com | www.1168m.com | www.qm8668.com | www.baifu35.com | www.50999u.com | www.tycyl.cc | www.7415b.com | www.7415gg.com | www.dzj0707.com | www.8887hj.com | www.673888c.com | www.7893w39.com | www.7366003.com | www.6687.com | www.r999997.com | www.8350.vip | www.551108.com | www.7886266.com | www.xy52aa.com | www.77114f.com | www.7793s.com | www.czg1.com | www.771645.com | www.517411.com | www.163770.com | ty262.com | qpby88.com | 1591vvv.com | cp088s.com | 5429j.com | 3967b.com | yhxinjiang.vip | 9xh.vip | 88807z.com | www.yh66609.com | www.056987.com | www.9679t.com | www.561pj.com | www.369038.com | www.7334g.com | www.30350v.com | www.k98478.com | www.88266d.com | www.888hy.cc | www.630155.com | www.015990.com | 11v111.com | blr3033.com | 40420011.com | 54240033.com | 3336609.com | www.benz4433s.com | www.xb0024.com | www.008520.com | www.8473o.com | www.392229.com | www.81520s.com | www.hjin9.com | www.399957.com | 8988jj.com | 2685js.com | x14666.com | 3178r.com | www.jinsha300.com | www.6347799.com | www.j99888.com | www.sha0044.com | www.hg2357.com | www.7782b.com | www.572899.com | 56988z.com | 500888.com | mg0500.cc | 2017.net | www.5303v.com | www.mk939.com | www.063801p.com | www.u77929.com | www.hc2788.com | www.60108v.com | 709651.com | 77261166.com | 3189pp.com | www.8867p.com | www.k00444.com | www.610096.com | www.ttcp88.co | www.911720.com | 32424f.com | yidali.com | qq365n.com | www.bg999222.com | www.3494.cc | www.38138z.com | www.7728229.com | www.aj3383.com | 2096p.com | 8030r.com | 35xx.vip | www.7380pp.com | www.1389dd.com | www.183msc.com | www.66ffj.com | 8449cc.com | 496.bi | swtyxxx.com | www.4938z.com | www.58665g.com | www.fa7969.com | www.837772.com | 25800.com | f3410.com | 3616v.com | www.285280.com | www.669112.com | www.084wy.com | bc21888.com | 20188b.com | 00778p.com | www.633786.com | www.38775pp.com | www.ya989.com | 93936d.com | 13806.com | 1213yyy.com | www.ra7088.com | www.63800d.com | www.934077.com | 01234ww.com | 22264066.com | www.54549966.com | www.4963yy.com | www.77114t.com | www.150957.com | zunyi807.com | 1654o.com | www.6000msc.com | www.56011v.com | www.802733.com | 1259w.com | 9694z.com | www.am7773.com | www.4521t.com | www.c5617.com | k3405.com | 62222k.com | www.hy2266.com | www.77786yh.com | www.969761.com | 1213www.com | 6789801.com | www.282456.com | www.9187r.com | www.577983.com | l3405.com | 159194.com | www.cp66611.com | www.54400y.com | 196979.com | nn500t.com | www.blm5544.com | www.087u.com | www.369072.com | 12274444.com | www.8494o.com | www.c30666.com | www.hc3656.com | pj700.cc | 6556m.com | www.c555jj.com | www.2632m.com | 3mgmvvv.com | 30006hd.com | www.3122v.com | www.60108s.com | 7737.com | fff8827.com | www.986655.com | www.77803y.com | 1483u.com | 1479g.com | www.3171113.com | www.29277g.com | zhcpaa.com | 7792l.com | www.169902.com | www.zfcp2.com | hr1811.com | www.4759ff.com | www.00778h.com | www.644996.com | 4912d.com | www.f22365.com | www.78680v.com | www.178275.com | 7196s.com | www.pj2299.com | www.95111w.com | 131pp.net | 2846u.com | www.6776ee.com | www.933709.com | q86811.com | www.3643t.com | www.zzyl64.com | 0860o.com | 5589.com | www.533163.com | www.946277.com | 80567z.com | www.hg0125.com | www.587819.com | 9339999e.com | 2709d.com | www.7415.com | www.609810.com | 4167p.com | www.9997068.com | www.33588g.com | 55557.com | www.ylg05.com | www.ff4625.com | 983888k.com | wfcp000111.com | www.ag06617.com | www.456586.com | 5647v.com | www.www-222299.com | www.73gcw.com | 2566h7.com | www.vns99888.cc | www.53900l.com | hg00566com | 3559ww.com | 6194js.com | www.2078q.com | www.99638f.com | 14142400.com | www.56520h.com | www.665534.com | 2836518.com | www.8694a.com | www.4923d.com | js89e.vip | www.9199sun.com | www.80065q.com | 898v.com | www.m.hjjb29.wang | www.08588z.com | 0343q.com | www.hg9168.com | www.ssme8.com | 35222y.com | www.10444.com | www.730979.com | 00ss8332.com | www.55545r.com | www.290038.com | hg5582.com | www.06387744.com | dzhcp5.com | www.00217g.com | www.1466b.com | 06385656.com | www.900673.com | www.5578w.com | yh55222.com | www.jcbo13.com | www.510860.com | 8901j.com | www.4546900.com | kkk556677.com | www.a0055.com | www.50989g.com | hg56.com | www.77msctyc.com | www.388634.com | 99151a.com | www.86339g.com | 2613k.com | www.155439.com | www.2dzh.com | wnsr8829.com | www.biying930vip.com | 50099n.com | www.223456y.com | www.61233y.com | 37770772.com | www.373351.com | 16690088.com | www.222544.com | www.73736f.com | 3552t.com | www.jz9588.com | yz5388.com | www.hg0051.com | www.5095z.com | hbs104.com | www.8645007.com | 76543t.com | www.17828z.com | www.769117.com | yh888y.com | www.37266a.com | 11228016.com | www.668cp77.com | 1592n.com | www.56520f.com | www.451.cc | 8449qq.com | www.78680d.com | 20188l.com | www.82gew.com | bet888000.com | www.www--97828.com | www.22yfa.com | k353.com | www.540066.com | 8547aa.com | www.6405pj04.com | 55443885.com | www.jing6664.com | www.401280.com | www.4123020.com | www.9478j.com | 2400xl.com | www.qiji222.com | 5360uu.com | www.9737ss.com | betvictor98.com | www.9f33.com | www.027079.com | www.39695o.com | www.869576.com | 365058.com | www.50051r.com | 8988p.com | www.48330t.com | 23300g.com | www.925713.com | 4441779.com | www.11c93.com | 500000471.com | www.ks1387.com | pj38839.com | www.0621gg.com | www.338073.com | www.p1186.com | www.770001.com | www.un1515.com | www.979zf.com | 256777t.com | www.43818t.com | 0241.com | www.97655n.com | 08530004.com | www.55545k.com | tm700.com | www.90928.com | 71707r.com | www.50.cc | z3410.com | www.97828p.vip | 8037zz.com | www.97828f.vip | 4196e.com | www.x777678.com | 47749p.com | www.ihg5544.com | mohan2013.com | www.289338.com | hubo8.cc | www.533574.com | swin6.com | www.68689r.com | 3844rr.com | www.33588n.com | 7989j.com | www.091wy.com | 5509e.com | www.917737.com | www.pj8117.com | www.570477.com | www.3668722.com | www.097918.com | www.6655288.com | 30019h.com |