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    來源:海鑫鋼網責任編輯:小鄧時間:2019年06月11日 08:51手機海鑫鋼網

    市場預測】

    10日全國線螺主流穩中下調。52個城市樣本中,持平城市14個,占比26.9%;下跌城市38個,占比73.1%,跌幅10-60。成品材市場來看,節間鋼坯價格先強后弱,成交表現冷清,加之早盤期螺弱勢運行,加劇商家悲觀情緒,市價主流下調,降后成交無改觀,考慮期螺尾盤收漲,商家心態略有緩和,預計今市價穩中偏弱運行。

    影響因素如下:1.淡季效應明顯,需求無力釋放。

    2.成本端支撐轉弱,貿易商出貨意愿上升。

    3.期螺尾盤翻紅,市場觀望情緒濃厚。

    【期市分析】

    11日前期夜盤,期螺10開3718,盤間強勢反彈,最高3752,最低3712,收3748,漲45漲幅1.22%。全國線螺主流穩中下調,淡季效應明顯,需求無力釋放。期螺短期略偏強震蕩,但有沖高回落風險,投資者多單可輕倉快進快出。

    【行業方面】

    1、海關總署公布的數據顯示,2019年5月我國出口鋼材574.3萬噸,較上月減少58.3萬噸,環比下降9.22%,同比下降16.5%;1-5月我國累計出口鋼材2909.3萬噸,同比增長2.5%。5月我國進口鋼材98.2萬噸,較上月減少1.8萬噸,同比下降13.1%;1-5月我國累計進口鋼材487.8萬噸,同比下降13.4%。5月我國進口鐵礦砂及其精礦8375.3萬噸,較上月增加298.1萬噸,同比下降11.0%;1-5月我國累計進口鐵礦砂及其精礦42391.6萬噸,同比下降5.2%。

    2、自5月28日創下階段新高774.5元/噸之后,鐵礦石期貨主力1909合約承壓大跌,不過6月10日大漲逾3%。分析人士表示,雖然近期澳洲、巴西鐵礦石總發貨量環比增加,但國內鐵礦石港口總庫存仍處低位,支撐期價再度走高。預計在供應缺口以及高爐需求未轉弱的情況下,港口鐵礦石庫存有望持續去化,鐵礦石期價也有望回歸強勢。

    3、寶鋼股份下調7月份部分產品出廠價格:厚板、冷軋、酸洗等基價不變,熱軋、彩涂、無取向電工鋼等不含稅下調100元/噸。

    0
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