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    來源:海鑫鋼網責任編輯:小鄧時間:2019年06月11日 10:22手機海鑫鋼網

    5月份共有108家境外機構通過債券通入市,凈買入522億元

    預計中國債券市場外資年流入規模在760億美元至1200億美元之間

    中國外匯交易中心最新公布的數據顯示,5月份共有108家境外機構投資者通過債券通渠道入市,交易量達1586億元,日均交易量超過76億元;當月凈買入達522億元。

    這一數據與4月份水平相比,債券通渠道的交易總量、日均交易量和凈買入規模均進一步增加。中國外匯交易中心4月份公布的數據顯示,4月份債券通渠道下,交易量為1169億元,日均交易量超過53億元,當月凈買入達356億元。

    數據還顯示,截至2019年5月末,債券通境外機構投資者數量為947家。債券通渠道下,5月份迎來首批泰國投資者,范圍擴展至全球28個國家和地區。

    來自中國中央國債登記結算公司的最新數據也表明,全球投資者正持續買入人民幣債券,進入中國債市的熱情不減。5月末,境外機構債券托管余額為16106億元人民幣。當月凈增持規模擴大至766億元,4月份這一水平僅為187億元。截至5月末,境外機構已經連續6個月凈增持,且在5月份創下年內單月最大增持規模。從品種來看,境外機構當月凈增持國債440億元,凈增持政策性金融債484億元。

    近年來,境外機構不斷增持我國債券和上市股票、基金。外匯局統計,境外機構持有的合計規模從2014年末的2192億美元上升到2018年末的4448億美元,增長103%。其中,持有的債券規模從1085億美元上升到2638億美元,增長143%。2019年一季度,境外機構凈買入我國債券95億美元,較去年同期及第四季度均大幅增長。

    我國債券市場對外資的吸引力來源于我國擴大對外開放的決心和正在推動的一系列改革舉措,這使得我國金融市場對外資越來越有吸引力。外匯局公布的數據顯示,2019年4月份,外匯局批準9家合格境外機構投資者(QFII)投資額度共計42億美元,批準5家人民幣合格境外機構投資者(RQFII)投資額度共計97億元人民幣。至此,外匯局今年以來共批準13家QFII投資額度共計47.4億美元,超過2018年全年批準總額度;共批準12家RQFII投資額度共計240億元人民幣,超過2018年全年批準總額度的一半。

    我國債券市場被納入全球重要指數,也使外資對我國金融市場有較強的配置需求。從今年4月1日起,人民幣計價的中國國債和政策性銀行債券開始被納入彭博巴克萊全球綜合指數。完成納入后,人民幣計價的中國債券將成為繼美元、歐元、日元之后的第四大計價貨幣債券。初步估算,加入該指數后,預計將為中國債市引入1000多億美元的指數追蹤資金。

    接下來,各方預計中國債券也有望納入富時羅素公司旗下的富時世界國債指數(WGBI),以及摩根大通旗下的全球新興市場多元化債券指數(GBI-EMGD)。摩根大通中國區首席執行官梁治文表示,摩根大通正在評估是否將中國債券完全納入全球新興市場多元化債券指數,并將于夏季召開今年的摩根大通年度指數管理會議上對投資者的情緒展開調研。富時羅素預計將于今年9月份正式對外公布是否將中國國債納入富時世界國債指數(WGBI),并可能于年底前展開對中國信用債券的考量。

    “中國資本市場開放正進入快車道。”摩根士丹利中國首席經濟學家邢自強表示,近年來外資逐漸加大對中國國債的買入力度,預計中國債券市場外資年流入規模在760億美元至1200億美元之間。

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